Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed worries about the U.S. debt this Sunday, just days after JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, a longtime deficit hawk, once again warned about the effects of U.S. spending on bond markets. Dimon’s job in banking means he has to worry, Bessent said, adding: “For his entire career, he’s made predictions like this,” but “none of them have come true.”
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded the alarm for years about the U.S.’s level of borrowing, and the bond market lately seems to agree with him. But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent isn’t buying those worries, suggesting they’re a bit overstated on a Sunday news show.
Speaking on CBS News’ Face the Nation on June 1, Bessent addressed Dimon’s latest worries about what host Margaret Brennan referred to as a debt market crisis.
I have known Jamie for a long time. And for his entire career, he’s made predictions like this,” Bessent told Brennan. “Fortunately, none of them have come true.”
He added, “That’s why he’s a great banker. He tries to look around the corner.” Bessent also took issue with the widely reported prediction that the GOP spending bill, which slashes government benefits and cuts taxes, mainly for the wealthy, would cost $4 to $5 trillion over the next decade.
“We are going to bring the deficit down slowly,” Bessent said, noting that income from tariffs and savings from President Donald Trump’s price controls on prescription drugs would make up the difference.
“We didn’t get here in one year, and this has been a long process,” he said. “So the goal is to bring it down over the next four years, leave the country in great shape in 2028.”
When asked for comment on Bessent’s assessment, a JPMorgan Chase spokesperson referred Fortune to Dimon’s interview on Friday with CNBC. In it, the CEO addressed the Reagan National Economic Forum and described the looming debt problem, among other geopolitical concerns.
Bond market jitters
Dimon is far from the only one concerned about U.S. debt and overall policy direction: The bond markets share his worry. In April, a bond selloff that drove interest rates on U.S. debt to historic highs prompted Trump to pull back on his tariff plans, putting a “pause” on reciprocal tariffs planned against most of the U.S.’s trading partners.
In May, credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded U.S. debt, meaning the U.S. no longer gets the highest rating from any of the three major credit agencies. During that month, Treasury yields rose steadily, representing the risk investors perceived from investing in the U.S. Just last week, yields on the 30-year Treasury note crossed 5%, a psychologically significant barrier that, outside of a surge in October 2023 prompted by inflation worries, hadn’t been seen since before the Great Recession.
Dimon laid out on Friday how the bond meltdown would happen. As the U.S. issues debt in the form of Treasuries, investors will demand a higher yield, or interest rate, to compensate for the perceived risk that the debt might not be paid back.
“Something like $30 trillion of securities trades every day. These are investors worldwide,” Dimon said, speaking to Fox Business’s Maria Bartiromo on the sidelines of the Reagan National Economic Forum. “People vote with their feet—and they’re going to be looking at the country, the rule of law, the inflation rate, the central bank policies… Central banks don’t set those rates,” he said.
That means nervous investors could bid up the interest rates on Treasuries, affecting what the U.S. government pays to borrow money and mortgage rates, without the Federal Reserve being able to do anything about it.
Getting it down will require a reduction of debt, Dimon said.
With the U.S. government’s spending post-COVID, “we hit $10 trillion in five years,” he said, speaking to CNBC at the same event. “When Ronald Reagan first warned about deficits in the 1980s, “the debt-to-GDP ratio was 35% and the deficit was 3.5%. Today it’s 100%, and the deficit is at 7%. Highest in peacetime ever.”
“What I worry about is us. Can we get our act together, our capability, our management?” Dimon later said. “If we are not the preeminent military and the preeminent economy in 40 years, we will not be the reserve currency. That’s a fact. Just read history.”
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